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The housing crisis and wealth decimation  

"I just sold my house and lost $100,000..."
"I can't sell my house after 12 months, even after lowering the price by 30% "
"I am going to go broke if I can't sell my house...."
"Why can't the government fix this housing crisis..."
"I thought a house was a safe asset that went up over time....."

These are all real quotes from friends and colleagues, who have or are being severely impacted by the depressed housing market. In fact most Americans, directly or indirectly are feeling the pain of the housing crisis. I came across a recent report form the Center for Economic Policy & Research, that confirmed the impact of the housing crisis on our financial fortunes and it paints a pretty bleak picture. In the report, titled The Impact of the Housing Crash on Family Wealth, projections show that as a result of the collapse of the housing bubble, families across all age groups will see a substantial reduction in their wealth compared to the 2001 and 2004 levels (last survey dates). Here is a breakdown of some key figures in the report:


- Families in the 18-34 age group will have 67.6% less in net worth in 2009 than in 2004. The median family in the 35-44 age will have 56.2% less in 2009 than in 2004. This corresponds to a decline of $41,000 in median wealth.

- The typical family in the age group from 45 to 54 will have 34.6% less in 2009 than did families in the same age group in 2004. The median family in the 55-64 age cohort will have $121,000 less wealth than their counterparts in this age group in 2004, a decline of 43.9%.

- The projections show that the crash of the housing bubble is likely to eliminate most, if not all, of the gains that families had made in accumulating wealth over the last two decades.

- Homes are the major financial asset held by the bulk of the population. It was inevitable that the sharp downturn in the housing market that we have seen over the last two years would have a substantial impact on the wealth of most families. As these projections should demonstrate, home ownership everywhere is not always an effective way to accumulate wealth.


Sobering stuff, especially the line "home ownership is not...always an effective way to accumulate wealth", which is a different paradigm on home ownership to what most people have. Based on various media stories and personal interactions I would agree with the quote if you were only considering home ownership for the short to medium. However, if you have owned your home for the long term (10+ years) you would still have experienced a significant appreciation in your home's value and it would probably still be a key part of your net worth.

What the recent crisis should have taught most people is that home prices do not rise indefinitely and that like any asset it can drop in value. The 20% year on year increases experienced for most of this decade were just part of the housing bubble and the fairy tale is long gone.

Related Posts:
> Paying off your mortgage - what would you do with the spare cash?
> Why you should be angry with the 2008 Housing Relief Bill

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4 comments

  • MoneyEnergy  
    August 7, 2008 2:16 PM

    Wow, us bloggers are really starting to focus more and more on this issue, which I think is a good thing. We each have access to different sources of information and it can be a real help to share it with others, as your quotes from friends reveal. We are each like canaries in our respective coal mines across the continent. We should continue to help keep each other informed.

  • Curt  
    August 7, 2008 5:36 PM

    Yes, the full effect of the housing market collapse is going to devastate the country. There are very few who have accepted the housing market decline. Many are trapped in their homes and can only hope for a quick correction before they are forces to sell for one reason or another. They will lose the most.

    I bought my house in 2001 at the beginning of the housing bubble and its value when up and is now it’s coming down - but it doesn't matter because I'm not selling. It's the same with a stock that goes down. It doesn't matter unless you have to sell.

  • sirbeef  
    August 9, 2008 11:44 PM

    Housing was way over priced in this country, in certain areas to the extent that what you're seeing now is an inevitable result.
    Too much cheap money sloshing around the past eight years has led to this bubble, and like all bubbles it bursts. We have Alan Greenspan mostly to blame for keeping interest rates cheap; after the tech bubble burst, he immediately saw to it that we entered a housing bubble.
    What we are seeing is a much needed correction in the valuation of homes.
    Look, go to Youtube and check out what Peter Schiff has predicted for a while now. Get educated, and then plan your investing accordingly.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yoZV5jt9puc

  • Andy  
    August 13, 2008 9:37 AM

    ME - Agree with your sentiments. Housing is a big issue because directly or indirectly if affects all our finances.

    Curt - Agreed, a paper loss is not the same as a real loss. However perception of wealth also drives consumers to spend more, and current conditions make people feel poorer and hence less consumption takes place. This is bad for the overall economy.

    SB - Great video. American finance has been characterized by bubbles. This is just another one. The higher we go, the further we have to drop.

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